Subject: QUANTITATIVE TOOLS IN BUSINESS

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QTB – MAY 2016 – L1 – SA – Q14 – Statistics

Calculate probability of specific outcomes when tossing a coin and rolling a die

If a coin and an unbiased die are tossed together, what is the probability of
obtaining a tail and a number greater than 3?

A. 0.25
B. 0.33
C. 0.35
D. 0.50
E. 0.75

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QT – May 2016 – L1 – Q7 – Mathematics of Business Finance

Construct an amortization schedule for a loan of GH¢3,000 over 12 years with an annual interest rate of 2%.

A loan of GH¢3,000 at an effective annual interest rate of i = 12% is amortized by means of 12 annual payments, beginning a year after the loan is taken.

Hint: The schedule should have the following columns: Payment, Interest Due, Principal Repaid, and Outstanding Balance.

Required:
Construct an amortization schedule.

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QT – May 2016 – L1 – Q6b – Data Collection | Measures of Central Tendency

Compute the sample mean, variance, standard deviation, covariance, and correlation for the given data.

b) Use the sample data below to answer the following questions:

Required:
i) Calculate the sample mean, variance, and standard deviation for X. (5 marks)
ii) Calculate the sample mean, variance, and standard deviation for . (5 marks)
iii) Calculate the sample covariance between X and Y. (3 marks)
iv) Calculate the sample correlation between X and . (3 marks)

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QT – May 2016 – L1 – Q6a – Data Collection

Distinguish between a population and a sample, and between a statistic and a parameter.

a)
i) Distinguish between a Sample and a Population. (2 marks)
ii) Distinguish between a Statistic and a Parameter. (2 marks)

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QT – May 2016 – L1 – Q5b – Equalities and Inequalities

Solve simultaneous equations representing a word problem about total cash in GHS 10 and GHS 20 notes.

Mini has some GH¢10 notes and some GH¢20 notes. If she has 273 notes worth a total of GH¢4,370:

Required:
i) Write down the system of linear equations. (5 marks)
ii) Solve the system of linear equations. (5 marks)

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QT – May 2016 – L1 – Q5a – Mathematics of Business Finance

Calculate the total cost, average cost, and marginal cost of producing 5000 items, and determine the production level for the lowest average cost.

a) If the total cost (in Ghana cedis) of producing xx items is given by the function C (x) = 2600 + 2x +

Required:
i) Calculate the total cost, average cost, and marginal cost of producing 5000 items. (6 marks)
ii) Determine the production level at which the average cost will be the lowest. (4 marks)

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QT – May 2016 – L1 – Q4 – Probability

Determine percentages of receipts using normal distribution and calculate mean and standard deviation based on given conditions.

a) Receipts at a particular depot have amounts which follow the Normal distribution with a mean of GH¢103.60 and a standard deviation of GH¢8.75.

Required:
i) Determine the percentage of receipts over GH¢120.05.
ii) Determine the percentage of receipts below GH¢92.75.
iii) Determine the percentage of receipts between GH¢83.65 and GH¢117.60.
iv) Determine the receipts amount such that approximately 25 percent of receipts are greater.
v) Above what amount will 90 percent of receipts lie?

b) If 10.56 percent of receipts have an amount above GH¢110.05 and 4.01 percent of receipts have an amount above GH¢120.05.

Required:
Calculate the mean and standard deviation of the receipts assuming that they are normally distributed.

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QT – May 2016 – L1 – Q3 – Probability

Calculate the probabilities of various outcomes in a card drawing scenario, including conditional probability based on drawing a red card.

a) If from a normal pack of 52 cards, consisting of four suites each of 13 cards, one card is randomly selected:

Required:

Calculate the probabilities of selecting the following:

i) An ace
ii) A club
iii) An ace or a club
iv) The ace of clubs
v) A picture card (i.e. a jack, queen or king)
vi) A red card
vii) A red king
viii) A red picture card

b) Given that a card selected is red, calculate the probability that it is a picture card.

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QT – Nov 2017 – L1 – Q7b – Mathematics of Business Finance

Calculate the future value of a depreciated vehicle and the amount required in a sinking fund to replace it.

Alpha Transport Company buys a vehicle for GH¢265,000. The value of the vehicle depreciates on a reducing balance basis at 17% per annum. The company plans to replace this vehicle in 5 years’ time, and they expect the price of a new vehicle to increase annually by 12%.

Required:
i) Calculate the book value of the vehicle in five years’ time. (3 marks)
ii) Determine the amount of money needed in the sinking fund for the company to be able to afford a new vehicle in five years’ time. (3 marks)
iii) Calculate the required monthly deposits if the sinking fund earns an interest rate of 11% per annum compounded monthly. (3 marks)

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QT – Nov 2017 – L1 – Q7a – Mathematics of Business Finance

Determine the timeline for savings and calculate the time required to reach a target amount with compound interest.

Every Monday, Kwei puts GH¢30 into a savings account at the Ring Bank, which accrues interest of 6.92% per annum compounded weekly.

Required:
i) Draw a cash flow timeline showing the payments, the interest rate, and the present values for the first four payments. (3 marks)
ii) Determine how long it will take Kwei’s account to reach a balance of GH¢4,397.53. Convert your answer into the number of years and days to the nearest integer. (6 marks)
iii) Determine how much interest Kwei will receive from the bank during the period of his investment.

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QT – Nov 2017 – L1 – Q1a – Basic Mathematics

Calculate the percentage saving per kilogram from bulk purchase.

Accra Junction Mall sells apples either for GH¢10 per kg or in bulk GH¢180 per 20 kg. What is the percentage saving per kg from buying in bulk?
(2 marks)

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QT – May 2019 – L1 – Q7b – Mathematics of Business Finance

Explain the concept of a sinking fund and calculate equal annual payments needed to accumulate a replacement fund.

i) Any entity that issues a bond to raise capital would need to pay off the bond when it matures. Paying the debt early via a sinking fund saves a company interest expense and prevents the company from being put in financial difficulties in the future if economic or financial conditions worsen.

Required:
What is a sinking fund? (3 marks)

ii) The owner of a Business Centre purchased a robust photocopier for serving the UG University Students Community. The photocopier is expected to be replaced after 10 years. He therefore decided to set up a sinking fund and pay an equal annual amount to realize GH¢50,000, being the replacement cost.

Required:
Compute the equal annual amount he should invest if the interest rate per annum is 10%. (4 marks)

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QT – May 2019 – L1 – Q7a – Linear Programming

Formulate a linear programming model for maximizing profit using decision variables and constraints.

Joycarpap Ltd manufactures and sells three models of affordable toys: Car, Joy, and Pap. Each model requires a specific amount of fabrication hours, material worth, and assembly hours as shown in the table below:

There are 210 fabrication hours available, 170 hours of assembly available, and materials worth GH¢200 in stock. Market research conducted by the company revealed that demand for the toys is such that, in whatever combination of the three models produced, all of the output can be sold within a week.

Each Car contributes GH¢15 to profit, each Joy contributes GH¢20 to profit, and each Pap contributes GH¢14 to profit. Using  as decision variables, and  as slack variables, and  as total profit:

Required:
i) Formulate a linear programming problem. (4 marks)

ii) Set up the initial Simplex Tableau. (4 marks)

iii) Determine the total profit in the first iteration. (5 marks)

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QT – May 2019 – L1 – Q6b – Probability

Calculate probabilities based on student survey data regarding their favorite sports.

A survey of The Institute of Chartered Accountants (Ghana) students asked the question: “What is your favourite sport?” The results are summarized below:

Level Football Boxing Hockey Total
1 68 41 46 155
2 84 56 70 210
3 59 74 47 180
Total 211 171 163 545

Required: i) What is the probability of selecting a student whose favourite sport is boxing? (2 marks)

ii) What is the probability of selecting a Level 1 student? (2 marks)

iii) If the student selected is a Level 2 student, what is the probability that the student prefers hockey? (3 marks)

iv) If the student selected is a Level 2 student, what is the probability that the student prefers football or hockey? (3 marks)

v) If the student selected prefers football, what is the probability that the student is a Level 1 student? (3 marks)

vi) If the student selected is a Level 3 student, what is the probability that the student prefers football, boxing, or hockey? (3 marks)

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QT – May 2019 – L1 – Q6a – Probability

Define collectively exhaustive events and complement of an event in probability theory.

Define the following terms in probability theory:

i) Collectively exhaustive events (2 marks)
ii) The complement of an event (2 marks)

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QT – May 2019 – L1 – Q5b – Forecasting

Compute 5-period moving averages, weighted moving averages, and comment on their suitability for forecasting

The number of enquiries being made to a mail order business during a Monday to Friday working week is given as:

Week Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday
1 34 36 24 25 41
2 33 34 24 23 43
3 35 37 25 25 47

Required: i) Plot the data on a graph.
ii) Compute a 5-period moving average for the data.
iii) Compute a ‘weighted’ moving average for the data if the smoothing constant is α=0.5.
iv) Superimpose the graphs of (ii) and (iii) on your graph in (i) above.
v) Comment on the suitability of the two smoothing methods above. (16 marks)

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QT – May 2019 – L1 – Q5a – Forecasting

Explain the concepts of moving averages and exponential smoothing in time series forecasting.

The objective of smoothing methods is to smooth out the random variations due to irregular components of the time series and provide an overall impression of the pattern of movement in the data over time.

Required:
Explain the following smoothing methods:

i) Moving averages (2 marks)
ii) Exponential smoothing (2 marks)

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QT – May 2019 – L1 – Q4b – Probability

Solve problems involving normal distribution, life spans, and warranty calculation using Z-scores.

CarJoy Manufacturing Company produces electronic components that have life spans normally distributed with mean  hours and standard deviation σ hours. Only 1% of the components have a life span less than 3,500 hours and 2.5% have a life span greater than 5,500 hours.

Required:
i) By standardizing the values of  to the standard normal values, obtain TWO (2) linear equations in  and . (4 marks)

ii) Using an appropriate method of solving simultaneous equations, determine the value of  and  in (i) above. (4 marks)

iii) Determine the proportion of electronic components with life spans between 4,120.50 hours and 5,052.45 hours. (4 marks)

iv) If the company gives a warranty of 4,000 hours on the components, find the percentage of components the company is expected to replace under the warranty. (4 marks)

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QT – May 2019 – L1 – Q4a – Probability

Sketch the normal distribution curve showing the mean, median, and mode.

The continuous random variable X is normally distributed with mean μ and variance σ2.

Required:
Sketch the distribution of  and indicate on your sketch the mean, median, and mode. (4 marks)

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QT – May 2019 – L1 – Q3 – Probability

Draw a decision tree and determine the optimal strategy for managing the cost of an art exhibition.

The Business Manager of Omaya Art Gallery has rented a hall to display the artworks of the artists of the gallery. She is considering organizing an exhibition of a number of rare painting masterpieces. In the past, only 70% of the paintings were sold in the first week. Moreover, if no painting is sold in the first five (5) days, the exhibition could be extended for another two (2) days but only 20% of the paintings would be sold.

The cost of the exhibition is GH¢500 per day. The manager estimated that in case she does not make any sales, she will have to pay GH¢15,000 to cover the costs of renting the exhibition hall for the same period.

Required: a) Draw a decision tree representing the Business Manager’s decision-making process. (8 marks)

b) Calculate the expected monetary cost of each decision node. (6 marks)

c) Determine the Business Manager’s optimal strategy. (6 marks)

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