Question Tag: Probability Forecast

Search 500 + past questions and counting.
  • Filter by Professional Bodies

  • Filter by Subject

  • Filter by Series

  • Filter by Topics

  • Filter by Levels

PM – Nov 2014 – L2 – Q7 – Decision-Making Techniques

Analyze profit for Omola Industries under various price and demand forecasts for a new product based on market research.

Omola Industries Limited is introducing a new product. The original information, available to the company from its archive, suggests that the product will sell for N190 per unit. Other information from the initial source is as follows:

  • Variable cost per unit: N100
  • Fixed cost: N20,000,000
  • Annual production and sales estimate: 700,000 units

To source credible information, the board inaugurated a market research team to assess sales volume, sales price, and variable cost. The research results are as follows:

  1. Selling Price Regimes: N180, N190, and N200
  2. Sales Demand Forecasts: Provided with pessimistic, most likely, and optimistic forecasts, along with subjective probabilities.

The company also committed to an annual contract cost of N5,000,000.

Required:

(a) Compute the initial profit achievable by the company. (2 Marks)

(b) Calculate the profit achievable under the three price scenarios based on the credible information. (7 Marks)

(c) Determine the value of the new information obtained from market research. (3 Marks)

(d) Identify three other sources of information available to an organization. (3 Marks)

Login or create a free account to see answers

Find Related Questions by Tags, levels, etc.

Report an error

You're reporting an error for "PM – Nov 2014 – L2 – Q7 – Decision-Making Techniques"

PM – Nov 2014 – L2 – Q7 – Decision-Making Techniques

Analyze profit for Omola Industries under various price and demand forecasts for a new product based on market research.

Omola Industries Limited is introducing a new product. The original information, available to the company from its archive, suggests that the product will sell for N190 per unit. Other information from the initial source is as follows:

  • Variable cost per unit: N100
  • Fixed cost: N20,000,000
  • Annual production and sales estimate: 700,000 units

To source credible information, the board inaugurated a market research team to assess sales volume, sales price, and variable cost. The research results are as follows:

  1. Selling Price Regimes: N180, N190, and N200
  2. Sales Demand Forecasts: Provided with pessimistic, most likely, and optimistic forecasts, along with subjective probabilities.

The company also committed to an annual contract cost of N5,000,000.

Required:

(a) Compute the initial profit achievable by the company. (2 Marks)

(b) Calculate the profit achievable under the three price scenarios based on the credible information. (7 Marks)

(c) Determine the value of the new information obtained from market research. (3 Marks)

(d) Identify three other sources of information available to an organization. (3 Marks)

Login or create a free account to see answers

Find Related Questions by Tags, levels, etc.

Report an error

You're reporting an error for "PM – Nov 2014 – L2 – Q7 – Decision-Making Techniques"

error: Content is protected !!
Oops!

This feature is only available in selected plans.

Click on the login button below to login if you’re already subscribed to a plan or click on the upgrade button below to upgrade your current plan.

If you’re not subscribed to a plan, click on the button below to choose a plan