Question Tag: Additive model

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MI – May 2024 – L1 – SB – Q1 – Forecasting Techniques-Analysis, Moving Averages

Analyze a time series and describe two models for estimating seasonal variation.

a. Describe how a time series can be analyzed. (10 Marks)

b. “There are TWO models used to estimate seasonal variation.” List and briefly describe the TWO models. (10 Marks)

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QT – Nov 2018 – L1 – Q6a – Forecasting

State the two main models of time series analysis.

State the TWO (2) main models of time series analysis. (2 marks)

 

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QT – Nov 2015 – L1 – Q1b – Forecasting

Calculate the trend, average seasonal variation, and forecast for Year 4 using a 4-point centered moving average method for Golden Tree Chocolate Bar sales.

Quarterly sales of a Golden Tree Chocolate Bar at a popular mall in KoKoLand City are given as follows:

YEAR QUARTER 1 QUARTER 2 QUARTER 3 QUARTER 4
1 1260 756 588 1596
2 1352 966 579 2028
3 1786 920 865 2273

Required:
(i) Calculate the trend in the series using a 4-point centered moving average method. (4 Marks)

(ii) Using (i), calculate the Average Seasonal Variation based on the Additive Model of Time Series analysis. (4 Marks)

(iii) Using the values in (ii), determine the Adjusted Average Seasonal Variation for the Time Series Data. (4 Marks)

(iv) Prepare Seasonal Adjusted Forecast for Year 4 using the Additive Model. (4 Marks)

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MI – May 2024 – L1 – SB – Q1 – Forecasting Techniques-Analysis, Moving Averages

Analyze a time series and describe two models for estimating seasonal variation.

a. Describe how a time series can be analyzed. (10 Marks)

b. “There are TWO models used to estimate seasonal variation.” List and briefly describe the TWO models. (10 Marks)

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QT – Nov 2018 – L1 – Q6a – Forecasting

State the two main models of time series analysis.

State the TWO (2) main models of time series analysis. (2 marks)

 

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QT – Nov 2015 – L1 – Q1b – Forecasting

Calculate the trend, average seasonal variation, and forecast for Year 4 using a 4-point centered moving average method for Golden Tree Chocolate Bar sales.

Quarterly sales of a Golden Tree Chocolate Bar at a popular mall in KoKoLand City are given as follows:

YEAR QUARTER 1 QUARTER 2 QUARTER 3 QUARTER 4
1 1260 756 588 1596
2 1352 966 579 2028
3 1786 920 865 2273

Required:
(i) Calculate the trend in the series using a 4-point centered moving average method. (4 Marks)

(ii) Using (i), calculate the Average Seasonal Variation based on the Additive Model of Time Series analysis. (4 Marks)

(iii) Using the values in (ii), determine the Adjusted Average Seasonal Variation for the Time Series Data. (4 Marks)

(iv) Prepare Seasonal Adjusted Forecast for Year 4 using the Additive Model. (4 Marks)

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